China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, has underscored the Taiwan issue as the biggest risk in US-China relations ahead of Trump’s visit to Beijing on May 14-15, 2026. The stakes are high as tensions continue to simmer over Taiwan, which China claims as part of its territory. This warning comes at a critical time for both nations.
Wang Yi emphasized that both sides should safeguard stability and prepare for key interactions. He stated, “Both sides should safeguard the hard-won stability, prepare well for key high-level interactions, expand areas of cooperation and manage their differences.” This sentiment reflects a cautious approach amid escalating geopolitical tensions.
The Taiwan issue is not just a political flashpoint; it’s a matter deeply intertwined with national identity in China. Historically, Taiwan has been viewed as a breakaway province, and any perceived threats to its status can provoke strong reactions from Beijing. The situation is further complicated by trade relations that are already strained due to tariffs and sanctions.
Interestingly, while global attention often focuses on geopolitical conflicts, there’s another pressing issue in China: tobacco control. With over 300 million smokers, China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of tobacco. A recent study by the China CDC found that current smoking prevalence among adults aged 15 and older stands at 23.2%.
Key statistics on smoking prevalence:
- 23.2% current smoking prevalence among Chinese adults aged 15 and older.
- Target smoking prevalence set at 20% by 2030 as per China’s Healthy China 2030 plan.
- Over 300 million smokers contribute to significant public health challenges.
The intertwining of tobacco control and state interests complicates efforts to reduce smoking rates. China’s tobacco monopoly has fiscal implications that may hinder progress. Some experts suggest that China could learn from Britain’s Tobacco and Vapes Bill aimed at creating a ‘smoke-free generation’.
The upcoming visit by Trump could serve as a pivotal moment for both US-China relations and domestic policies in China. As Wang Yi pointed out, the Taiwan issue concerns China’s core interests—an area where compromise seems unlikely. Will Trump’s engagement lead to a breakthrough or exacerbate existing tensions?